那种加密货币拥有最好的基础设施建设

That’s a very, very good and a very important question. The market is now maturing and fundamentals are becoming more and more dominant.

That’s why I made this list of the 22 cryptocurrencies with the strongest fundamentals out of all 5,000. This list took so long to write and evaluate, two days in total seriously.

Ok, if we take Bitcoin as the measure and give them 100 points for fundamentals, this is what I see the fundamentals of the other coins in the Top 200.

Here is how I calculated the fundamentals approximately.

  1. 30% Revenue.
  2. 20% Users, If you have 25 million users and $1M revenue that’s great. However, if someone else has 1M users and $50m that’s 10x better.
  3. 15% Big partnerships. Big partnerships are a validation of the team and sign of a very competent marketing team that is able to turn those partnerships into real adoption even though the adoption has not happened yet.
  4. 15% Token Velocity. There are lots of good coins, but no matter how good your coin is, if you don’t have low token velocity so that lots of tokens are taken out of circulation, your coin will not increase as much. 

    However, Ethereum has great token velocity, because already 3% is locked up in DeFi, 20% of all Bitcoins are already lost, Chiliz will burn tokens, NEXO has staking etc. I’ll write a more in-depth article about that soon.
  5. 20% other. This can be anything, such as the brand recognition of Bitcoin, a very experienced founder that has already built a big company before.

Here is how I made the list.

Coin Absolute fundamentals/Market cap of Bitcoin divided to market cap/chance that it will be able to reach its potential/Final score = second score * chance

  1. Bitcoin 100/100/80%/80
    Bitcoin has huge brand recognition, first mover advantage, which is a big, big bonus. Though, it has a big expectation, becoming the world’s currency and currently it is neither technologically, nor politically equipped at all to achieve that. That’s why the chance for that to actually happen is only 80%, which is still optimistic.
  2. Ethereum 70/600/90%/540
    Ethereum is very close to Bitcoin in all metrics and ahead in some others, e.g. transactions per day. Ethereum is also very close to being able to provide all the technological needs that a global currency needs, such as excellent decentralization and scalability past 100,000 TPS.
  3. BNB 60/4000/90%/3,600
    BNB has $1B in revenue and is the tourniquet of crypto. Almost everything that happens in crypto goes through Binance and with this constant new product releases CZ shows that he has the big thinking vision to increase Binance’s influence.
  4. VET 30/20,000/75%/22,000
    VET possibly has $500M in revenue soon with the $15 billion dollar deal that it provides the infrastructure for.
  5. NEXO 30/100,000/80%/80,000
    It probably has $50M revenue, but NEXO has a huge token velocity advantage over VET, which is why it pumped by 40% over the last 4 days and why its fundamentals are on par with VET.
  6. MKR 30/12,000/90%/11,000
    MKR has more than $300M locked up, this makes it a very strong coin.
  7. IOTA 25/10,000/50%/5,000
    IOTA probably has the best tech of all blockchain-like networks by far.
  8. BAT 25/25,000/70%/17,500
    BAT has an amazing product and ecosystem and already 10M MAUs and probably $10M annual revenue, simply an amazing coin.
  9. Theta 15/20,000/50%/10,000
    THETA is the decentralized youtube and already has more than 1 million users and $20M annual revenue. Great product, great metrics.
  10. ENJ 15/50,000/50%/25,000
    ENJ has huge partnerships with Samsung and Microsoft and will probably announce another one soon, which will then all translate into adoption more and more.
  11. SNX 12/20,000/40%/12,000
    SNX already have more than $177M locked up and already made $3.5M in revenue through fees. However, SNX has shown drama through censorship and bad leadership, significantly adding risk.
  12. ADA 10/2,000/20%/500
    ADA has a big and active community, good brand recognition from the 2017 bull run, have a very good team and most of all are ramping up marketing big time now. Their tech is not so outstanding, but still good enough to compete in the market for the next couple of years and we only care about this bull run (2020/2021) anyway for now.
  13. Elastos 10/60,000/30%/20,000
    Elastos has great tech, but not such good marketing. They do have the Asia bonus though, which could enable them to carve out a niche in the Asian market for themselves without having to compete directly with Ethereum.
  14. XRP 10/90/15%/13.5
    While they have a promising platform, they still have almost no clients using it really.
  15. Dent 5/30,000/50%/15,000
    DENT has a great product and lots of users, but doesn’t have much revenue. Furthermore, it’s unclear how many are using Afterburner and how many users are actually active. Lots of question marks, but they do have a decently sized user base.
  16. QKC 5/90,000/10%/9,000
    They have very good tech, much better than Cardano, however, they have huge adoption gap to overcome, they have much less funds and a much smaller community.
  17. ZIL 5/9,000/20%/1400
    ZIL have weaker tech with their transactional sharding technology than QKC’s state sharding tech, but stronger marketing still. However, their market cap is also 8x higher.
  18. PowerLedger 3/10,000/30%/3,000
    They are in a great market (energy), are the leader in their own space by far and they already have several large test clients. All in all, pretty good and we can probably hear something for PowerLedger soon.
  19. LINK 3/75/50%/25
    They only have some partnerships, where it’s completely unclear if those partners are actually using LINK at all.
  20. CHZ 2/7,500/70%/5,000
    They have a novel and very fun model, already have $100,000 in revenue and nearly 100,000 users and they are pretty much the only coin in their space. Overall, a coin to watch.
  21. ZRX 2/300/30%/90
    They do have some promising tech and some adoption, but it’s unclear if they can ever get significant adoption
  22. RVN 1.5/5,000/30%/1,600
    RVN has a promising platform and some traction, but not so much traction

All the other coins within the top200 coins are at fundamentals of 0–2, for example: LTC, BCH, EOS, TRX, BSV, XLM, ATOM, XEM, DOGE, DCR, CENNZ, OMG, WAVES, NANO, ICX, SC, FUN.

This also gives us an interest list of potential profits. Here I highlighted the ones with the most safety, above 75%

  1. NEXO 30/100,000/80%/80,000
  2. ENJ 15/50,000/50%/25,000
  3. VET 30/20,000/75%/15,000
  4. Elastos 10/60,000/30%/20,000
  5. BAT 25/25,000/75%/17,500
  6. Dent 5/30,000/50%/15,000
  7. SNX 12/20,000/40%/8,000
  8. MKR 30/12,000/90%/11,000
  9. Theta 15/20,000/50%/10,000
  10. QKC 5/90,000/10%/9,000
  11. CHZ 2/7,500/70%/5,000
  12. IOTA 25/10,000/50%/5,000
  13. BNB 60/4000/90%/3,600
  14. PowerLedger 3/10,000/30%/3,000
  15. RVN 1.5/5,000/30%/1,600
  16. ZIL 5/9,000/20%/1,800
  17. Ethereum 70/600/90%/540
  18. ADA 10/2,000/20%/400
  19. ZRX 2/300/30%/100
  20. Bitcoin 100/100/80%/80
  21. LINK 3/75/50%/37
  22. XRP 10/90/15%/13.5

This approach yields us Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, NEXO, BAT, VET, Maker as the most solid coins that have the most safety combined with the biggest upside. PRE will probably also enter the Top200 soon and become a bold coin.

I like trying to always try refute my original analysis by coming from very different angles. It seems to hold up.

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